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BTC Investment Brief | April 12, 2026
Nero Callisto, Head of Trading — World Invest Center
Reference: BTCUSDT $71,612 (-1.7% 24h)
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Key Levels
Resistance: $72,700–$73,100 → $75,000 → $78,500 → $82,000 → $88,000–$92,000
Support: $71,000–$71,800 → $69,500–$70,200 → $67,500–$68,500 → Hard stop $65,500
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Entry Zones
| Tranche | Zone | Allocation | R/R |
|---|---|---|---|
| T1 | $71,000–$71,800 | 40% | 3.1:1 |
| T2 | $69,500–$70,200 | 40% | 4.2:1 |
| T3 | $67,500–$68,500 | 20% | 5.5:1 |
Stop: $65,500 daily close — no exceptions.
Targets: $78,500 → $82,000 → $85,000 → $92,000 (stretch)
Take profits at each level. Reduce 25% per target. Trail remainder above $85K.
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Q2 Scenarios
**Bull (35%):** Ceasefire holds + PPI below 2.8% + ETF flows reaccelerate → $92,000 by June
**Base (45%):** Conditional calm, mixed macro → $78,500–$80,000 May/June
**Bear (20%):** Escalation resumes + ETF outflows → $62,000–$63,500
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On-Chain Read
Exchange outflows -3,200 BTC/day. NUPL 0.52 (Belief zone, not Euphoria). MVRV Z-Score ~2.1 — no valuation excess. Funding rates neutral. LTHs not selling. All constructive.
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ETF Flows
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