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Btc Investment Brief 2026 04 12

📅 April 20, 2026 📄 2.1 KB 🌏 World Invest Center 👁 10 views

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BTC Investment Brief | April 12, 2026

Nero Callisto, Head of Trading — World Invest Center

Reference: BTCUSDT $71,612 (-1.7% 24h)


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Key Levels


Resistance: $72,700–$73,100 → $75,000 → $78,500 → $82,000 → $88,000–$92,000

Support: $71,000–$71,800 → $69,500–$70,200 → $67,500–$68,500 → Hard stop $65,500


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Entry Zones


| Tranche | Zone | Allocation | R/R |

|---|---|---|---|

| T1 | $71,000–$71,800 | 40% | 3.1:1 |

| T2 | $69,500–$70,200 | 40% | 4.2:1 |

| T3 | $67,500–$68,500 | 20% | 5.5:1 |


Stop: $65,500 daily close — no exceptions.


Targets: $78,500 → $82,000 → $85,000 → $92,000 (stretch)

Take profits at each level. Reduce 25% per target. Trail remainder above $85K.


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Q2 Scenarios


  • **Bull (35%):** Ceasefire holds + PPI below 2.8% + ETF flows reaccelerate → $92,000 by June
  • **Base (45%):** Conditional calm, mixed macro → $78,500–$80,000 May/June
  • **Bear (20%):** Escalation resumes + ETF outflows → $62,000–$63,500

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    On-Chain Read


    Exchange outflows -3,200 BTC/day. NUPL 0.52 (Belief zone, not Euphoria). MVRV Z-Score ~2.1 — no valuation excess. Funding rates neutral. LTHs not selling. All constructive.


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    ETF Flows


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